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Thursday – 30 – 11/2023

** 16:30h **

LEAGUE: ROMANIA: LIGA 2

MATCH:  Steaua Bucuresti – Hunedoara

PICK:  1

ODDS: @2.20

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FT: ?-?

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Fixed Matches Site: Premier League hits and misses

While Manchester United advances to sixth place behind the complete Premier League debut of Kobbie Mainoo, Aston Villa overcame a deficit to defeat Tottenham and move above Ange Postecoglou’s club.

It’s the plays that went well and poorly on Sunday.

It seems so long ago when Tottenham went on a 10-game winning streak at the beginning of Ange Postecoglou’s tenure.

The Premier League leaders have dropped out of the top four and established an unpleasant record as a result of three straight losses and a long list of ailments.

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Spurs have become the first club in Premier League history to drop three straight games following a 10-game winning streak at the beginning of the season. What a change in momentum.

Spurs had now allowed five goals in stoppage time at the conclusion of a half, with Pau Torres’ header at the end of the first forty-five minutes being the latest.

The manner in which Villa overthrew the hosts in the second half raises more concerns about whether Postecoglou’s injury-plagued team is losing steam in games.

Sadly, Tottenham’s schedule doesn’t get much more accessible; their next opponents are Newcastle, West Ham, and Manchester City.

Their realistic ambitions of qualifying for Europe this season will depend greatly on those games.

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It is hard to regard Aston Villa as anything other than legitimate Champions League challengers, despite Unai Emery’s best efforts.

Due to the new structure, finishing in fifth place in the Premier League could be sufficient to guarantee a spot in the competition the following season; however, Villa has already surpassed Tottenham to take the fourth spot.

It’s the highest Villa has been at this point in the season in the top league for 14 years. Their impressive 13-game winning streak at Villa Park is proof positive that they are the real deal.

During his news conference following the game, Emery listed the seven teams—Manchester City, Manchester United, Liverpool, Arsenal, Chelsea, Tottenham, and Newcastle—that he believes have more genuine European aspirations than Villa.

However, Villa has already defeated two of those teams away from home. They lead Chelsea by 12 points and Newcastle by 5.

Emery could need to remove a few of those sides from his list as soon as possible.

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Alejandro Garnacho got the on-air player of the match award for his incredible goal, but Kobbie Mainoo’s maiden Premier League start and Manchester United’s 3-0 victory against Everton will excite Manchester United supporters just as much.

His level of composure in the center of the pitch was astounding.

Additionally, everything happened instantly.

When everyone at Goodison Park was wondering if Manchester United would be able to handle the intense atmosphere, he found space and time when none should have been there and was not scared to get his foot on the ball.

He’s very talented, Erik ten Hag remarked later.

His serious injury during the preseason was an extremely upsetting time for both our club and him, as I believe he can make significant development if he performs like he did today.

I am aware that young players may advance swiftly. We felt that now was the right time to introduce him.

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Mainoo had completed 34 of his 41 passes before he was replaced, to a standing ovation from the traveling supporters. He had the greatest passing accuracy of any player in the United starting lineup.

It was proof of Ten Hag’s trust in him that he was better than Sofyan Amrabat.

Mainoo looks to be a player who can influence the game both with and without the ball when you combine that with his defensive efforts, which included clearing the ball off the goal line when it looked like Dwight McNeil had pushed in the equalizer.

With Mason Mount sidelined for the foreseeable future due to injury, Casemiro’s form and health have created a gap in the midfield, and a double pivot seems like the best choice.

His manager is now aware that he has a gifted young guy who is prepared to take on that responsibility.

Ten Hag went on, “He did a great job.” “Now he has to build on this.”

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Friday – 06 – 10/2023

** 17:00h **

LEAGUE: FINLAND: VEIKKAUSLIIGA

MATCH:  Ilves – AC Oulu

PICK:  1

ODDS: @2.00

FT: 3-2 WON

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In the aftermath of July’s latest mixed US employment data, the Bitcoin (BTC) price remains within previous ranges to the north of the $29,000 mark.

According to the data, the US economy added 187,000 jobs in July, which was less than the 200,000 predicted. Furthermore, the June job growth of 209,000 was reduced downward to 185,000.

A second household poll, however, found that the jobless rate had unexpectedly dropped to 3.5% from 3.6% in June. Average hourly wage growth was also greater than predicted, growing 0.4% MoM in July vs. 0.3% projected, raising the YoY rate to 4.4%. 100 Winning Fixed Matches

Something for everyone

The lack of reaction in the bitcoin price and other financial markets to the study was ascribed to the fact that there was “something for everyone” in the data.

On the one hand, the rate of employment growth in the United States is obviously declining, with the headline July NFP reading the lowest since early 2021.

That is an indication that the heat is going out of the labor markets, which the Fed wants to see since a hot labor market makes fighting still-too-high US inflation more difficult (or, some would argue, impossible).

However, the still extremely low (by historical standards) unemployment rate and wage growth well above the Fed’s 2.0% inflation objective indicate that the labor market remains too hot for the Fed’s comfort.

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Investors appear to believe that the latest employment report does not change the story significantly in terms of Fed tightening expectations.

According to the CME’s Fed Watch Tool, US interest rate futures pricing predicts an 86% likelihood that the central bank would keep rates steady at its next meeting in September, which is somewhat higher than before the data release.

Markets then attribute a roughly 75% likelihood that rates would remain at current or lower levels for the rest of the year, indicating that little has changed since the data release.

Interest rate futures in the United States now indicate that the Fed will have begun reducing rates by next March. The market tends to believe that the Fed’s tightening cycle is over, with modest cutbacks beginning in 2024. Comments from Fed policymakers support this notion.

While Chairman Jerome Powell will continue to try to keep the door open to more rate hikes in order to avoid premature easing of financial conditions, Fed Bank of Atlanta President Raphael Bostic was on the wires on Friday, saying he doesn’t see the need for any more hikes to ease inflation, a view likely shared by many other Fed policymakers.

Correctly Predict Football Tips Bitcoin So, with the US job market progressively cooling and inflation slowly rising, it looks like the Fed is nearing the end of its tightening cycle.

Given that strong tightening in 2022 was a primary cause of the bad bitcoin market last year, the conclusion of the tightening cycle should be seen positively for the bitcoin price.

Still, the conclusion of a tightening cycle does not imply a dramatic relaxation of financial conditions and a surge in liquidity.

With the US economy surpassing forecasts in the first half of 2022, the jobs market being consistent with a healthy economy, and inflation remaining far over the Fed’s 2.0% objective, the argument for significant financial easing is now weak.

Just as macro isn’t a significant headwind for Bitcoin right now, it’s also not a powerful tailwind, and it probably won’t become one until we have more serious concerns about a US recession and rate reduction.

For the time being, updates on more crypto-specific topics like institutional adoption (look for bitcoin ETF applications and corporate whales like Tether and MicroStrategy) and regulation (the SEC’s regulation by enforcement approach and global efforts to pass crypto regulation) are likely to have a greater impact on the price.

Technicals will also be significant, with analysts doubting whether Bitcoin can hold to the north of its 2023 uptrend, which it looks to be on the verge of retesting.

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